Posts Tagged ‘H’

How Seasonal Patterns Effect Forex Markets?

July 22nd, 2009

Most forex traders analyze and predict the future direction of currencies using fundamental or technical analysis. The craftier among them use the combination of both to predict direction of forex markets.

Fundamental analysis studies the long term effect of economic forces on currency markets whether financial or socio political using various economic indicators. Technical analysis is based on the premise that all available information is already compounded into the prices and the future prices can be predicted based on past prices.

If you have been trading stocks, you must be familiar with the term: The January Effect. It has been observed over a long period of time that stocks tend to perform very well between the last week of December and the first week of January.

The explanation of the January Effect is simple. During the last few days of the year, many investors are concerned about their tax returns. They try to realize capital gains or losses to file their tax returns. Many corporations also use the end of the year to face lift their balance sheets favorably at the end of the year.

Seasonality is not peculiar to the stock markets. In fact forex markets also tend to exhibit strong seasonal effects. Seasonality can be defined as a pattern that occurs at a particular period of the year.

The January Effect also takes place in forex markets because most of the investors who are liquidating their stock positions try to convert their local currencies into dollars at that time.

However, dollar may show stronger January Effect with some currencies as compared to others. It has also been studied that dollar shows a summer seasonality when it tends to rise in USD/JPY and USD/CAD in the month of July and give back its gains in the month of August.

There are other seasonal patterns that have been studied in other parts of the year. Now, it does not mean that these seasonal effects take place exactly the same way every year.

Seasonality in currency pairs only means that there is a strong probability that during a particular time of the year, the chances of a particular currency pair going up or down are high.

Forex traders should keep these seasonal patterns at the back of their minds while trading during that period.

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Economic Factors That Move the Forex Markets in the Short Term

July 21st, 2009
<div style='font-style:italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam

Fundamental traders depend on fundamental analysis in trading forex. Technical traders depend on technical analysis in trading forex. But the importance of economic data cannot be underestimated in shaping trading strategies.

Over 90 percent of currency transactions are done against USD. USD is either the base currency or the counter currency in most of the currency trades.

Since majority of the currency trades involve USD, you as a forex trader will also most probably trade USD most of the time. Release of certain economic data has significant and lasting impact on currencies like USD.

With experience, you will understand that currency markets reaction to the release of different economic data with time also changes. A few years back, US GDP figures used to be important for USD but they dont have much impact now.

EUR/USD is the most liquid pair in the forex market and is heavily traded. The release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on the first Friday of each month has become important in recent years. These figures makes EUR/USD and other pairs involving US Dollar highly volatile for some time until the markets digest the importance of these figures.

Similarly, the release of US housing sales number every month has become very significant for USD in the recent years. Previously, forex markets used to give more importance to US Trade Balance.

Range traders like to trade when the currency pair they are trading tends to range. If you are a range trader who wants to scalp for a few pips every time you trade, you should avoid the day NFP data is released for trading. This is a highly volatile day for the markets.

However, if you use breakout trading as your trading strategy, understanding which economic data is expected to be released on a particular day can help you in your trading. You should plan your trading strategy in accordance with the significance of the economic data to be released.

In nutshell, understanding that some economic indicators move the forex markets most is very important for you as a trader. It is also important for you to know which economic data the market deems most important at any point in time.

You should also know which data causes knee jerk reaction in the markets and which pieces of data will have lasting reaction in the forex markets.

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Fundamental Trading Strategies in Currency Markets (Part I)

July 20th, 2009

As a forex trader you should use a combination of trading strategies in developing your forex system. This will hedge your risk and maximize return. There are a few strategies based on fundamental analysis and others are based on technical analysis. You can use a fundamental trading strategy that is based on big macroeconomic events for swing trading that may last from a few weeks to a few months.

Short term forex traders and day traders try to focus only the economic news release of the week and how it will impact their day trading. This works well for many traders. Learn forex nitty gritty, a method based on only 20 minutes trading a day.

Fundamental trading strategy based on macroeconomic events can make few thousand pips for you in a matter of a few weeks or months. You should not lose sight of the big macroeconomic events that may be bubbling in the economy or for that matter in world. Large scale macroeconomic events have the potential and ability of moving the forex markets big time for a long time.

The impact of big macroeconomic events has the ability and potential to change the fundamental perception about a currency not only for a few days but for a long time. Events such as natural disaster, political uncertainty, wars and international meetings have widespread physical and psychological impact on forex markets.

Therefore, by keeping on top of the global developments, understanding the underlying market sentiments before and after these global events and trying to anticipate them could be very profitable for you. At least it can help prevent significant losses in your currency trading.

You may ask what type of big events affects the currency markets in the long term. Important world summits, major central bank meetings, potential changes to the currency regimes, possible default by large countries, G-8 Finance Minister meetings, Presidential and Parliamentary elections in big countries, possible wars, FED Chairman semiannual testimony to the Congress. These are only a few examples of big events that make the currency markets jittery and may have a long term impact.

For example, 2004 and 2008 US Presidential elections were hotly contested. Candidates had different stances on the growing budget deficit and how to deal with the recession engulfing the US economy. This resulted in the overall USD bearishness.

G-8 meetings also tend to leave a long lasting impact on the currency markets. Combined these eight countries account for the two third of the world GDP. So whatever decisions that are taken during these G-8 meetings usually leave a short term as well as a long term impact on the global forex markets.

For example, the US Dollar collapsed after the September 2003, G-8 Finance Minister meeting in which the finance ministers wanted to see more flexibility in the exchange rates of the member countries. This meeting was also important as the US Trade Deficit was ballooning and going out of control at that time.

EUR/USD bore the burnt of the dollar depreciation. China and Japan intervened aggressively to stabilize their currencies. USD had already begun to sell off leading up to the meeting. The trend continued for many months after the meeting.

Therefore, the long term impact of these events is much more significant that the short term impact and the event itself have the ability to change the overall market sentiments.

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Understanding How the Forex Brokers Make Profits

July 18th, 2009

When you open a forex trading account, you will be told by your forex broker that there are no commissions involved in currency trading. Most of the new traders take their broker words as true. They think that the cost of trading is minimal.

Forex brokers also called FCMs (Futures Commission Merchants) make profits through the bid-ask spread they offer to their clients for each currency pair. This bid-ask spread is the trading cost for you and the profit for your FCM.

Lets take a practical example. Bid/ask spreads are usually overlooked by the individual traders as the price they have to pay for trading. So lets calculate what your cost of trading can be in a year.

Suppose you are a day trader. You trade 5 times a day. Taking away the weekends, when you cant trade, there are 250 trading days.

As a day trader, you open and close your position before the end of the day. That means each position is traded 2 times.

Suppose; your start with an account size of $50,000. You are using a leverage of 4 only, you are cautious. So this $50,000 deposit will control (50,000) (4) = $200,000 for you.

Your Annual Turnover will be; (5) (250)(2)(200,000)= $500 M. Huge! Now lets calculate how much your broker will make and what your spread cost is. Spread Cost= (Annual Turnover) (spread)/2.

Suppose further, the bid/offer spread charged by the broker is 3 pips. 3 Pips Spread Cost= (500M) (0.0003)/2= $75,000.

Suppose, the spread offered by the broker is only 2 pips. 2 Pip Spread Cost= (500M) (0.0002)/2= $50,000.

You can see now, the cost of trading with a 3 pips spread versus a 2 pips is $25,000. Huge for you, this is 50% of your account equity. You see now that a 1 pip difference can result in $25,000 more as trading cost for you.

You will need to make a profit of $75,000 in a year simply to breakeven with a 3 pips spread. Trading costs are one of the most important reasons most active traders fail in the long run.

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Selling Versus Renting Your Home

July 7th, 2009

Are you struggling with the choice of selling or renting out your home? To know what you should do, you should weigh the pros and cons of selling and renting. The best option could vary depending on your location, property, and price range.

Overall, the housing market isn’t in the best shape right now. Many aren’t looking to buying homes either because they don’t have the money or the credit for it. It’s a difficult time to have your house on sale because of this.

As for renting, the demand for rental homes in Utah continue to grow each year. There are several reasons renting is an option that homeowners choose to do with their property. First of all, rental property is considered an investment in the real estate industry. Hence, they can create cash flow into your pocket. It can be a good investment because property tends to appreciate over time and can give you a big chunk of money in the end. The rent you choose to offer each month should cover the mortgage payment as well any future repairs.

You could hire a Utah property management such as KeyRenter who will handle deciding the proper rental price for rental homes in Utah and provide a 24/7 maintenance crew who will fix any repairs your tenant complains of. You will still have to pay for these repairs, but will get a better deal on prices and quality since you are using your Utah property management in-house maintenance professionals.

Homes for rent in Utah can provide numerous tax breaks for homeowners. For wear and tear on the house from tenants, you can deduct money for that otherwise known as a depreciation loss. You could also claim a depreciation on appliances that were used on the rental property. This can lower you taxable income and could show as a net loss on the property, although you are receiving a monthly rent check for the home.

When deciding to rent or sell your home, many are choosing to rent because of the many advantages. Selling is a great option too, but might be an even better choice if waited out to sell it. If you rent for the time being, the housing market will go up eventually and you’ll be able to get more of the market value on your home. If you’re worried about handling all the responsibilities of being a landlord, hiring a Utah property management like KeyRenter can assist you with the entire renting process.

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Finding the Perfect Rental

July 6th, 2009

Finding that perfect rental may feel like trying to find that perfect mate. It can be difficult at times, but with persistence, you’ll find the best one for you. When searching for a rental, it can be stressful if you don’t know where to turn. There are several websites with listing online, but how reliable are those? What other things should keep in mind while searching for that perfect rental home anywhere in the nation including homes for rent in Utah.

KeyRenter has helped many people in your situation find the home they need. As a Utah property management company, they look to find qualified applicants for their clients who are homeowners renting their places out. In essence, KeyRenter is like a matchmaker in the real estate industry. Comprised of professional staff, they are able to ensure applicants and tenants that they are getting the home they want to rent. With several listings in their databank, they can find one that fits the location, price, and needs of a Utah rental home. There are many tips to follow when searching for a rental.

Have the right attitude: You won’t find the right rental home if you don’t have the right attitude for it. You’ll making a lot of phone calls, leaving messages, and setting up appointments to look at rental homes in Utah that you’re interested. You will have to be persistent and prepared to meet your potentially new landlord. Stay positive in your search and you will find what you’re looking for.

Your checkbook should always be with you: Keep your checkbook with you when looking at rentals, just in case you fall in love with a rental home and want to reserve it immediately before anyone else does.

Prepare references and rental background: Have in mind who your references are in their contact information. Landlords tend to ask for these so they can call them to get a better idea of who you are. Also, have your rental history prepared as many applications ask for this information as well. KeyRenter would ask for this information as well.

Dress appropriately at rental appointments: You may find the rental home you want, but you don’t impress the landlord with your sloppy grooming and dress. Be sure to make the best impression when looking at rentals. You never know if that’s going to be the one you are going to apply for. Good first impressions are always the best.

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Rent While Waiting For The Housing Market To Improve

July 3rd, 2009

U.S. President Obama recently said the housing market was “a crisis unlike any we’ve ever known.” In response to his own statement, he proposed to give $275 billion into the housing economy to lessen the struggles of 9 million homeowners. Another solution Obama proposed was for the mortgage companies to receive incentives and subsidies in order to help out the homeowners more. Of course there has been support and criticism for these ideas with Congress waiting to make a decision.

It usually takes a very long time for things to get decided in Congress, therefore, homeowners must still continue to struggle with this crisis on their own before government will step in. Owners may feel selling or foreclosure is their only option, but it is not so. Renting out your home is your safest bet during these times.

The option to rent opens the doors for the homeowner to still be able to pay the mortgage and have extra income come in. There’s no need to be intimidated when looking to rent your home or to look for rental homes in Utah. It is very easy when there is a Utah property management company helping you out to make the right rental decisions. It is the best company to lean on if you’re looking to rent.

It’s simple to search for rental homes in Utah with the help of a Utah property management team. You may be intimidated to start renting your home at first, but when talking to a professional who will help market, lease, handle finances, and even legal help, then you will feel safe with the choice to rent. No one really knows when the housing market will improve. The economy can go up and down affecting different areas of the U.S.’s industry. It’s better to be safe than sorry when a home is involved.

Tenants are usually easy to find since there are always individuals, students, couples, and families on the move and relocating always looking for a new place to live. Whether you have a large home or a quaint starter home, there’s always the market out there who are in search of your type of home or condo. Utah property management caters to potential tenants and provides them with a 12 point screening check to make sure all is good and the homeowner can feel assured things will go well during their rental experience.

Those who are searching the housing market will realize that renting a home is the better choice for now. Renting is more stable since you don’t own it, therefore, you’re not reliable for it in the long-run. You and the landlord are also bound to it by contract so nothing can go wrong. Especially if a Utah property management company is involved because they enforce rent payments and that the landlord is meet the house’s needs.

Article Marketing Secrets

May 2nd, 2009

Article marketing is the best way to attract massive publicity to your website. In article marketing you write articles on the topic of your choice. Then submit them to article directories, ezines and announcement groups.

You dont need to be great writer in order to succeed at article marketing. Article marketing is being used by regular every day people for driving traffic to their websites.

This is the free and best way to build massive back links to your site. These backlinks will count with the search engines and will increase ranking of your site on the search engines. You only require giving not more than an hour of your time everyday writing an article.

Suppose you are afraid to write. You consider yourself not a good writer. Believe me, if you can write letters to your friends, you can also write good articles with a little bit of practice and good advice.

Your article should not be too long or too short. It should be between 400-700 words for best results. When you write an article avoid talking about your business or your website in the body. Try to give your reader information that has value in an interesting manner.

In the beginning, write one article per day. Next day, again read the article you wrote the previous day. This way you will be able to take a fresh look at it and make it even better. Then submit it to article directories.

The title should be enticing enough for people to click on it. Start your article in an interesting and lively manner that compels the reader to continue reading till the end.

At the end of the article there is a resource box. You can talk about yourself here. It is the most important part of the article in addition to the title and the body.

In the resource box, you can talk about yourself. Try to tell the reader about yourself in third person. Here you can sell your business and your website.

Your resource box should be compelling enough for the reader to click on the link and visit your website. A good article tends to leave a positive impression in the mind of the reader and builds trust. It also establishes you as an expert in your niche.

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Apartment Life Is So Much Better Than Dorm Life

April 16th, 2009

If you’re going away to college, you will have to decide between living in a dorm or an apartment. Some colleges make this decision for their freshmen students and everyone lives in a dorm. If your college allows students to live off campus, apartment living can be a better alternative than living in a dorm.

An dwelling has more space than a dorm room. Many dorms have public bathrooms, public frivolous or TV scrutiny areas and narrow collective kitchen and laundry conveniences. If you are in an public housing, you don’t have the challenges that common breathing can hand over. You can clean up by physically. You can get into the kitchen at any time and cook what you want to eat, when you want to eat it. That alone can be much better than relying on dorm livelihood.

An apartment has more nonconformity than a dorm room. You can come and go as you want. There is no clampdown, no signing in and out of the dorm. No one looking over your shoulder, no carry some weight how judicious they might be. You also have, within limits, more decorating power than a dorm room. And, of course, you can organize your fixtures any way you’d like. Also, having an dwelling gives you more free will in alternative your roommate or roommates.

An apartment can offer you more services than a dorm room. For example, you can more often than not have cable television, have an assigned parking spaces, and have held storeroom for a bicycle or other belogings. You often can get high speed internet with no enemy with others for log on. Some apartments may have washers and dryers in the unit – no more laundromat. Depending on your position, an residence may give you retrieve to an train room or a swimming pool.

An apartment building can offer you a longer lease than dorm room possession. If you settle to go to instruct year rotund, or stay in your college town for summer holiday employ, having an dwelling solves the hindrance of where to live. You are not issue to dorms concluding down over holiday periods or semester breaks.

An apartment house can offer more safety than a dorm room. Many dwelling buildings have keyed right of entry that limits fascinate to individuals who have apartments in the shop.

An apartment offers you a greater prospect to be an grown. In order to have an public housing, you must come up with the defense leave, pay the rent, do your own shopping and budgeting, pay the utilities and solve disputes with your neighbors and roommates exclusive of the assistance of a Occupier Consultant.

If you locate an apartment within your budget, within a reasonable commute to your campus. If you have the maturity to live on a budget and pay your monthly obligations and have the ability and time to maintain an apartment, then you should seriously consider the advantages of apartment living over dorm life.

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Are Great Traders Made?

April 13th, 2009

The question is can anyone become a winning forex trader? Yes anyone can in my opinion. The only thing that is required is a winning trading plan. If you have not developed a good trading plan than dont enter the forex market. First develop one. Forex markets are not going anywhere. These markets will be there next year and after that. Enter only when you are prepared.

Let me tell you about a great experiment in history. This experiment is a perfect example of developing and then implementing a winning trading plan. This experiment was known as Turtle Traders Experiment.

Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt were two great traders and partners who were arguing one day on whether great traders are born or made. This was the year 1983. Both were commodities speculators.

Bill was saying that great traders could only be born and not made. Richard had the opinion that great traders could be made through good training. To settle the argument, both agreed to select and then train a few traders to see the trading results after training.

An advertisement was placed in New York Times, Barrons and The Wall Street Journal. 1000 applications were received in response to that advertisement. The Turtle Trading Experiment had started.

Only 13 applicants were selected after shortlisting and interviewing 80. Those selected were known as Turtles.

The turtles were given training and a complete trading plan based on rules on how to apply it. Richard would always emphasize to the turtles that he could give these rules to anyone but these rules were useless unless they were applied consistently.

So, the actual success in trading whether forex, stocks, commodities or futures lies in having a good trading plan; You need to have a trading plan that is exact. In other words is mechanical and ruled based does not depend on your emotions. Learn to control your emotions in trading.

In the end, it is discipline and consistency that will make you a winning forex trader in applying your trading plan. Who says, you cannot become a Great Trader!

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