Posts Tagged ‘government’

Income Based Apartments

February 16th, 2010

People who are living near poverty or have seen a drastic reduction in their income to the point of poverty need to save money in every aspect of their lives. A big way you can save money is by living in income based apartments. These are apartments where the rent is subsidized which allow people to pay a lower rent.

If you want to live in income based apartments, you have to meet the income requirements. You can find the requirements on HUDs website since they are different for each county.

HUD will need to check your income and verify it. In order to do that they will need to see your tax returns, pay stubs, and employment letter. You can give copies of these to the housing office along with your application. Once you are verified and your application goes through, HUD should give you a voucher which you can use at the apartment of your choosing.

Look for apartments on HUDs website or ask them to give you a list of apartments from which you can begin your search. Other places you can try are apartment search websites.

When you go look at the apartments based on income, be sure you bring some paper and pen to note what you like and dislike about the apartments. This is what you will use later to help you make a decision regarding the low income apartment you will move into.

If you have a chance, speak to some of the people living in the apartments based on income. They can give you some clues as to whether living in that income based apartment is good. You might also want to check up on reviews online about the apartments in which you want to live in.

Once you have found the apartments that you have most interest in, do a careful walkthrough of the apartment. If you see some problems, be sure to notify the landlord before you move in.

Some areas have a long line of people wanting apartments based on income. They are very popular since they save people a considerable amount of rent. Just be prepared to wait when you apply for these apartments.

Danny Lankins has helped many families find low income based apartments. For further info on where to find apartments, please visit his website.

Risk to Reward Ratio

August 15th, 2009

Many new traders think that a good entry into the markets for each trade is the key to success. Most are wrong, unfortunately. What is more important is trading with a good risk to reward ratio that has a high probability to making a profit. A risk to reward ratio compares the potential for reward with the potential for loss.

Risk is measured by the pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you want to exit the market in case of a losing trade. Risk is just a measure of how much you can lose in a trade. A trader must view each trade as a business transaction.

Reward is calculated by the pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which you would want to exit the market in case of a winning trade. Reward is the expected number of pips that you want to make in a trade that will be a winner.

In order to manage risk properly, you need to look for high probability trades that have a risk to reward ratio of 1:2 or higher. However, this depends on the time frame that you want to trade. For example, suppose you are a day trader. You are looking for making only 30 pips in a trade. A stop loss of 15 pips is sufficient for the risk to reward ratio of 1:2.

However, suppose you are a swing trader or a position trader with a longer time frame. Your profit potential will be more on a longer time frame. Suppose you choose 200 pips as your expected profit. You will need to set your stop loss at 100 pips.

The reason that you need to set a higher stop loss is that on a larger time frame, small trends occur within the larger trend. Retracements on shorter time frame is much smaller as compared on the larger time frame. Your trade is going to be recycled. In order to be not stopped out, you need to calculate your risk to reward ratio appropriately.

You must agree that next to maximizing profits, the second most important thing for you is minimizing losses. A trading system that wins 50% of the time can still be profitable. The unfortunate thing about most of the traders is that they want to make money but dont know how to protect what they currently have.

You have 50/50 chance of market going your way just like flipping a coin. In case, the trade does not develop in your favor, you should cut your losses by using stop losses. In short, you cut your losses and let your winners run. This simple 50/50 strategy earns a profit even when a novice trader might experience a loss.

Consider the following different risk to reward ratios. For 2:1 risk to reward ratio, you will need 67% winners just to break even. For 1:1 risk to reward ratio, it means 50% winners to break even. 1:2 ratio means 33.5%. As I have said before, never ever trade when the risk to reward ratio is more than 1:2.

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Emotions in Forex Trading

August 7th, 2009

One of the most crucial yet overlooked elements of successful trading is maintaining a healthy psychological outlook. At the end of the day, traders who are unable to cope with the stress of the market fluctuations will not withstand the test of time. No matter how skilled they may be at the scientific elements of trading.

A good trader needs to be emotionally detached. Trading decisions must be independent of fear and greed. One of the attributes of a good trader is that he/she accepts losing and makes decisions based on an intellectual level. Traders who are emotionally involved in trading make substantial errors. They tend to whimsically change their strategies after a few losing trades or become carefree after a few winning trades.

Good traders are emotionally balanced in their approach. In the midst of a losing streak, they try to take a break. They dont allow fear or greed to dominate their strategy. You cannot win every trade. Even very successful traders go through stretches of losing trades but they are emotionally strong enough to cope with it. You must be psychologically strong enough to cope with losses.

If you are going through a bad stretch in your trading, you should think of taking a break. Take a few days off from watching the markets. Try to clear your mind. If you keep on trading relentlessly during tough market conditions, it can breed greater losses and ruin your psychological confidence.

Make no mistake about it. No matter how much you study, practice and trade; there will be losing trades throughout your trading career. The key is to make them small enough in order to live to trade another day. You can overcome a lot of bad luck in your trading by using good money management rules.

In order to become a master trader, you need to control your emotions. Despite many new methods that have been introduced to traders, one constant is the human emotional behavior. After all, markets are just people selling and buying and only a reflection of these emotions.

Buy on a rumor and sell on a fact. People afraid of losing their money start to sell on rumors. Fear of losing money makes the market prices go down. People become greedy and buy trying to catch a free ride. Fear of losing a good opportunity makes the market prices to rise up and up, creating a bubble.

You need to learn technical analysis as a forex trader to help capture profits from a movement in the price. You should understand how price action takes place by developing a trading system that is ruled based. Your trading method should not depend on emotions to make decisions.

The best method to overcome emotions in trading is to depend on a forex trading system that is mechanical in nature. There are clear cut rules for entering and exiting a position. Use those rules consistently. There maybe a few losses but with a good forex trading system, you can be sure the number of winner will be greater.

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Using Interest Rate Differentials as Fundamental Trading Strategy

July 24th, 2009

As a forex trader, you should be aware of the role played by the interest rate changes in the general economic and investment climate. You should know that interest rates are an essential part of investment decisions and can drive currency markets as well as the stock and commodities markets in either direction. After the unemployment figures, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decisions are the second largest currency market moving release.

The impact of interest rate changes is not only short term but also long term on the currency markets. One Central Banks interest rate decision can affect more than a single currency pair in the interconnected forex markets.

In forex trading, an interest rate differential is the difference between the base currency interest rate and the quoted currency interest rate. In the currency pair, EUR/USD, EUR is the base currency and USD is the quoted or counter currency. The interest rate differential for the EUR/USD pair will be the difference between the Euro interest rate and the USD interest rate.

Understanding the relationship between the interest rate differentials and the currency pairs can be very profitable. In addition to the Central Banks overnight interest rate decisions, expected future overnight rates as well the expected timing for the rate changes can be critical to the currency pair movements.

The reason why this is profitable is that international investors like big banks, hedge funds and institutional investors are yield seekers. They actively keep on shifting funds from the low yield assets to high yield assets.

Interest rate differentials are considered to be the leading indicators for currency prices. London Inter Bank Offer Rate and the 10 year government bond yields are usually used as leading indicators of currency movements.

Lets use an example to make it clear. Suppose the Australian 10 year government bond yield is 5.25%. The US 10 year government bond yield is 1.75%. The yield spread between AUD and USD would be 350 basis points in favor of the AUD.

Suppose the Australian government raises its overnight interest rate by 25 basis points. The Australian 10 year government bond yield would appreciate to 5.50%. Now, the new yield spread between AUD and USD is 375 basis points in favor of AUD. The Australian Dollar will also be expected to appreciate against US Dollar.

The general rule of thumb used by professional traders is that when a yield spread increases in favor of a certain currency that currency is expected to appreciate against the other currency in the pair. This is important information for you as a trader. Interest rate data is available on Bloomberg. Keep track of the currencies in the currency pairs that you trade with that data.

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Using Commodity Prices as Leading Indicators

July 23rd, 2009

Commodities, namely gold and oil, have a strong and substantial correlation with forex markets. By understanding this relationship between gold, oil and currency pairs, you as a forex trader can gauge risk, forecast price changes as well as understand exposure.

Gold and oil prices essentially tend to move based on almost similar fundamental forces that affect a few currency pairs. Four major currencies, the New Zealand Dollar, the Australian Dollar, the Canadian Dollar and the Swiss Franc are considered to be commodity currencies.

The NZD, CAD, AUD, and CHF all have strong connection with gold prices. Natural gold reserves and currency laws in these countries result in almost mirror like movements. The CAD also tends to move with the oil prices.

However, the correlation between CAD and oil prices is not that strong. Each one of these currencies has a correlation with gold and oil and the fundamental factors behind doing so.

Knowledge of the fundamental factors behind these movements, their direction and strength could be a good method to discover trends in both the markets. There is a strong correlation between gold prices and US Dollar as well.

During unstable geopolitical times as well as when global recessionary fears become strong like that presently, investors tend to run away from US Dollar and instead turn to gold as a safe haven for their investments and hoard their wealth.

Therefore, as Dollar loses value, gold prices tend to rise as wary investors become afraid of losing their wealth. As US is going to print more and more dollars to finance its budget deficits, USD will depreciate and gold will appreciate. Many countries are trying to hoard gold keeping in view this anticipated depreciation of dollar. AUD/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CHF are currency pairs that tend to mirror gold movements.

Global energy needs are wholly dependent on oil supplies. Oil prices usually tend to have a huge impact on the global economy. Dont forget, the early part of 2008 when oil and commodity prices jumped skyward taking the global economy to the brink of recession. Oil prices did come down due to the stock market crash but it is being forecasted that it will rise again when the global economy comes out of recession and the demand for oil rises again. USD/CAD currency pair tends to show an oil relationship. The major reason for this relationship is the heavy dependence of US and Canadian economies on foreign oil.

Generally speaking, commodity prices are usually considered to be a leading indicator of currency prices. As such, commodity block traders monitor gold and oil prices to forecast movements in currency pairs. The knowledge of this relationship between gold, oil and currencies can help forex traders to diversity their risk exposure using different products. The combination of gold and forex trading can be very profitable.

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Economic Factors That Move the Forex Markets in the Short Term

July 21st, 2009

Fundamental traders depend on fundamental analysis in trading forex. Technical traders depend on technical analysis in trading forex. But the importance of economic data cannot be underestimated in shaping trading strategies.

Over 90 percent of currency transactions are done against USD. USD is either the base currency or the counter currency in most of the currency trades.

Since majority of the currency trades involve USD, you as a forex trader will also most probably trade USD most of the time. Release of certain economic data has significant and lasting impact on currencies like USD.

With experience, you will understand that currency markets reaction to the release of different economic data with time also changes. A few years back, US GDP figures used to be important for USD but they dont have much impact now.

EUR/USD is the most liquid pair in the forex market and is heavily traded. The release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on the first Friday of each month has become important in recent years. These figures makes EUR/USD and other pairs involving US Dollar highly volatile for some time until the markets digest the importance of these figures.

Similarly, the release of US housing sales number every month has become very significant for USD in the recent years. Previously, forex markets used to give more importance to US Trade Balance.

Range traders like to trade when the currency pair they are trading tends to range. If you are a range trader who wants to scalp for a few pips every time you trade, you should avoid the day NFP data is released for trading. This is a highly volatile day for the markets.

However, if you use breakout trading as your trading strategy, understanding which economic data is expected to be released on a particular day can help you in your trading. You should plan your trading strategy in accordance with the significance of the economic data to be released.

In nutshell, understanding that some economic indicators move the forex markets most is very important for you as a trader. It is also important for you to know which economic data the market deems most important at any point in time.

You should also know which data causes knee jerk reaction in the markets and which pieces of data will have lasting reaction in the forex markets.

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